Strength
Strength
|
41 19 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
943 -72 Strength Momentum |
1156 43.3(48) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.000 | 1495 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 977 | 2% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Cleveland | 0.000 | 1236 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1049 | 11% | |
| 08/29/15 | Sandia | 0.000 | 1278 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 950 | 11% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Highland | 0.001 | 917 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 840 | 51% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Del Norte ! | 0.001 | 798 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1031 | 70% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Moriarty | 0.003 | 981 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 922 | 41% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Manzano | 0.006 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 989 | 51% | |
| 09/12/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.005 | 1005 | L 3- 6 | Expected (-3) | 814 | 43% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Cibola | 0.007 | 1232 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 793 | 11% | |
| 09/19/15 | Carlsbad !! | 0.021 | 1095 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1110 | 29% | |
| 09/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.060 | 1156 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 990 | 22% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.032 | 1350 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-3) | 800 | 5% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.103 | 1422 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 991 | 3% | |
| 10/07/15 | Valley ? | 0.076 | 1096 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-5) | 706 | 29% | |
| 10/14/15 | at West Mesa | 0.400 | 1156 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 1009 | 18% | |
| 10/17/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.171 | 1350 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 833 | 7% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Valley | 0.654 | 1096 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 929 | 24% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.062 | 1422 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 673 | 3% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Grande actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1156, while
Rio Grande's "weighted playing strength" is 924
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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